Wind energy ETF technical catalyst could herald further gains
Wind energy stocks continue to outperform the broader market as WTI crude oil prices remain elevated. The First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN) provides diversified exposure to wind energy, using mostly international stocks, and exhibits positive momentum in both absolute and relative terms. The ETF appears on the verge of another positive technical catalyst that we think will preserve its momentum. FAN has cyclical and secular uptrends in place supported by our long-term indicators. The monthly MACD reflects positive and growing long-term momentum as FAN approaches resistance from its 2021 high near $26.10. Long-term overbought conditions are in place as a function of strong momentum, and they are easier to sustain when breakouts occur. A measured move projection of ~$29.50 would be generated upon a breakout. FAN recently cleared its February high, which gives it a better chance of clearing the 2021 high over the coming weeks. Intermediate-term momentum is reaccelerating, and the weekly stochastics have a bullish ‘pop’ that supports a breakout. The relative trend versus the S & P 500 Index (SPX) is positive. Initial support for FAN is now defined by the February high near $24.60. CWEN makes up approximately 2% of the FAN ETF due to its wind energy offerings. CWEN is benefiting from the same macro tailwinds as FAN and shares a similar technical setup. After a pullback in February, CWEN rallied in March and is now approaching final resistance from its 2022 high near $41.80. If CWEN breaks out, it would generate a long-term measured move objective of roughly $48.30. Support is defined by recent peaks and troughs near $36.90. Relative to the SPX, CWEN has confirmed a long-term base breakout, with the ratio hitting a new eight-month high earlier in the month. The breakout marks a long-term bullish shift, suggesting CWEN will see additional outperformance versus the SPX over the next several months. Overall, the technical backdrop supports further outperformance from wind energy, with both FAN and CWEN well positioned for breakouts to new highs. — Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . DISCLOSURES: None. All opinions expressed by the CNBC Pro contributors are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, or its parent company or affiliates, and may have been previously disseminated by them on television, radio, internet or another medium. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL’S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MIGHT NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. Click here for the full disclaimer. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC (“Fairlead Strategies”) for informational purposes only. This material is for illustration and discussion purposes and not intended to be, nor construed as, financial, legal, tax or investment advice. You should consult appropriate advisors concerning such matters. This material presents information through the date indicated, reflecting the author’s current expectations, and is subject to revision by the author, though the author is under no obligation to do so. This material may contain commentary on broad-based indices, market conditions, different types of securities, and cryptocurrencies, using the discipline of technical analysis, which evaluates the demand and supply based on market pricing. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author. This material should not be construed as a recommendation, or advice or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment. The information is not intended to provide a basis on which you could make an investment decision on any particular security or its issuer. This document is intended for CNBC Pro subscribers only and is not for distribution to the general public. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although such information is believed to be reliable, no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of such information. This information may be subject to change without notice. Fairlead Strategies undertakes no obligation to maintain or update this material based on subsequent information and events or to provide you with any additional or supplemental information or any update to or correction of the information contained herein. Fairlead Strategies, its officers, employees, affiliates and partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs, or claims for your reliance on this material. Nothing herein is, or shall be relied on as, a promise or representation as to future performance. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. Opinions expressed in this material may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed, or actions taken, by Fairlead Strategies or its affiliates, or their respective officers, directors, or employees. In addition, any opinions and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change and/or withdrawal without notice. Fairlead Strategies or its affiliates may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different from or adverse to your interests or inconsistent with the advice herein. Any investments made are made under the same terms as nonaffiliated investors and do not constitute a controlling interest. No liability is accepted by Fairlead Strategies, its officers, employees, affiliates, or partners for any losses that may arise from any use of the information contained herein. Any financial instruments mentioned herein are speculative in nature and may involve risk to principal and interest. Any prices or levels shown are either historical or purely indicative. This material does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial circumstances, objectives or needs of any specific investor, and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, investment products, or other financial products or strategies to particular clients. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. The material should not be provided to any person in a jurisdiction where its provision or use would be contrary to local laws, rules, or regulations. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.